NOM (NOM) · Signal Score

Risk 100/100 · Extreme. What raises it:

• +18Oscillators are at an extreme (KDJ %J and Stochastic %K) — the move is already stretched and reversals usually start in this zone.6.35
• +18The MACD line sits far from zero relative to price: momentum is late in its move, not starting it.-6.98
• +15Stretched oscillators and a stretched MACD together, with no confirmation from trend or volume — the classic exhaustion setup.
• +12Relative volume is below average: the move is not backed by participation.0.27
• +12Volatility is high (NATR) — the stop distance sits inside normal noise.12.11
• +12Price has run far from its 50 EMA, and mean reversion is the usual next move.-20.1
• +10Price is at the very edge of the last twenty bars — the top on a buy, the bottom on a sell; entering here means entering on the last slice of the move.2
• +8The market-wide Fear & Greed Index sits on the same side as the setup: buying into greed or selling into fear means joining the crowd right where sentiment usually turns.34
• +2Price has moved with the setup while open interest is shrinking: the move is carried by positions closing, not by new money, and it tends to give back once they run out.-2.37

The risk score counts conditions that make a setup more likely to fail. It is a measurement, not a prediction, and not investment advice.