Cardano (ADA) · Signal Score

Risk 57/100 · High. What raises it:

• +20The moving averages disagree with the setup: the 50 is on the wrong side of the 200.0
• +8The market-wide Fear & Greed Index sits on the same side as the setup: buying into greed or selling into fear means joining the crowd right where sentiment usually turns.34
• +8Price is at the very edge of the last twenty bars — the top on a buy, the bottom on a sell; entering here means entering on the last slice of the move.4
• +6The MACD line sits far from zero relative to price: momentum is late in its move, not starting it.-2.38
• +6Relative volume is below average: the move is not backed by participation.0.69
• +4ADX is low — the market is ranging, and trend-following setups fail most often here.21.83
• +3Volatility is high (NATR) — the stop distance sits inside normal noise.6.93
• +1Oscillators are at an extreme (KDJ %J and Stochastic %K) — the move is already stretched and reversals usually start in this zone.19.11
• +1Price has moved with the setup while open interest is shrinking: the move is carried by positions closing, not by new money, and it tends to give back once they run out.-1.6

The risk score counts conditions that make a setup more likely to fail. It is a measurement, not a prediction, and not investment advice.