ATM (ATM) · Signal Score

Risk 100/100 · Extreme. What raises it:

• +18The move is stretched and the technicals have already turned against the setup: the indicators still read the same way, but the reversal has begun.
• +15The MACD histogram has already turned while the line still points the same way — the push is losing speed.0.05
• +15Stretched oscillators and a stretched MACD together, with no confirmation from trend or volume — the classic exhaustion setup.
• +14Oscillators are at an extreme (KDJ %J and Stochastic %K) — the move is already stretched and reversals usually start in this zone.9.41
• +13Price is at the very edge of the last twenty bars — the top on a buy, the bottom on a sell; entering here means entering on the last slice of the move.1
• +12The MACD line sits far from zero relative to price: momentum is late in its move, not starting it.-3.23
• +10Relative volume is below average: the move is not backed by participation.0.51
• +7Price has run far from its 50 EMA, and mean reversion is the usual next move.-15.14
• +4The market-wide Fear & Greed Index sits on the same side as the setup: buying into greed or selling into fear means joining the crowd right where sentiment usually turns.39
• +1Volatility is high (NATR) — the stop distance sits inside normal noise.5.84

The risk score counts conditions that make a setup more likely to fail. It is a measurement, not a prediction, and not investment advice.